Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 64.255922 72.604077 81.201507 90.686823 100.828287 111.318061 122.959769
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 51.235692 63.098594 75.929371 90.712892 107.155268 124.769257 144.953760
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 43.502992 57.239207 72.649894 90.962182 111.883825 134.817026 161.635468
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 37.972153 53.030143 70.476789 91.757112 116.611034 144.358092 177.322372
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 32.604810 48.349909 67.180620 90.726722 118.792021 150.646121 189.021811
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 29.345890 45.876530 66.194709 92.132966 123.565582 159.714529 203.743759
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 26.764727 43.980075 65.682720 93.910693 128.620858 168.997274 218.637845
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 23.388443 40.703719 63.165942 92.987114 130.235902 174.091186 228.537770
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 19.931125 36.977555 59.791001 90.741334 130.031328 176.859389 235.567552
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 18.948574 36.649924 60.816235 94.046696 136.650288 187.803280 252.308027
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 17.733874 35.862313 61.135666 96.374395 142.008701 197.207962 267.220316
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 15.555801 33.420845 59.032694 95.394688 143.092695 201.331051 275.737137
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 13.492521 30.980207 56.813936 94.188562 143.863464 205.091203 283.886546
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 12.036396 29.372002 55.677474 94.364031 146.363580 210.969621 294.618799
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.748773 27.905826 54.644448 94.598265 148.879459 216.828936 305.307615
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.733489 26.803088 54.074055 95.415695 152.122657 223.582016 317.095525
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.391210 24.945589 52.239311 94.359611 152.810644 227.058449 324.799730
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.716360 24.268436 52.182213 95.800366 156.817477 234.748583 337.752391
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.175159 23.792191 52.404790 97.621350 161.328603 243.089095 351.537836
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.164386 22.223921 50.778546 96.675334 162.031599 246.506024 359.136533
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.040927 20.223147 48.308325 94.374635 160.794913 247.354229 363.454227
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.925641 20.481936 49.633998 97.760650 167.424702 258.445225 380.755221
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.664202 20.364097 50.299751 100.144496 172.668323 267.744323 395.812345